Sport Picks
Bangkok Utd vs Ayutthaya United
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit 
Match Events
23'
23'
Sub
Wellington Priori In: Namwech W.
Out: Wellington Priori
49'
49'
Arthur
Assist: Praisuwan J.
58'
58'
Al Ghassani M.
Assist: Autra P.
AI Match Summary
Bangkok Utd in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bangkok Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangkok Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ayutthaya United haven't matched Bangkok Utd's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Bangkok Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bangkok Utd | Ayutthaya United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.49 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Ayutthaya United
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Bangkok Utd
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bangkok Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Arthur
1 Goals Assists Leader Al Ghassani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Ayutthaya United Compare
Top Goalscorer Dechmitr S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bangkok Utd 85 / 100
Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bangkok Utd Ayutthaya United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bangkok Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangkok Utd's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Defensive concern: Ayutthaya United conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Bangkok Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bangkok Utd VS Ayutthaya United
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bangkok Utd
(Home) 20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 Bangkok Utd
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1 Sisaket United
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1 Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1 Sisaket United
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1 Ayutthaya United
18 Apr
Bangkok Utd
1 : 4 Ratchaburi
15 Apr
Bangkok Utd
0 : 3 Gamba Osaka
Page 1 of 4
Ayutthaya United
(Away) 18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2 Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1 Ayutthaya United
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1 Ratchaburi
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1 Ayutthaya United
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Ayutthaya United
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1 Ayutthaya United
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0 Ayutthaya United
05 Apr
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 0 Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
