Sport Picks

Thailand

Thai League 1 Thammasat Stadium

Bangkok Utd

4 - 1

Ayutthaya United

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Sub

Wellington Priori In: Namwech W.

Out: Wellington Priori

49'

Arthur

Assist: Praisuwan J.

58'

Al Ghassani M.

Assist: Autra P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bangkok Utd in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bangkok Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Bangkok Utd

Draws

Ayutthaya United

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ayutthaya United haven't matched Bangkok Utd's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Bangkok Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 20%

Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bangkok Utd	Ayutthaya United
Matches Played	38	32
Wins	16	12
Draws	13	6
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	0.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Thai League 1

Bangkok Utd vs Ayutthaya United

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Dec 14, 2025 Thai League 1

Ayutthaya United vs Bangkok Utd

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur

1 Goals

Assists Leader Al Ghassani M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Dechmitr S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok Utd 85 / 100

Ayutthaya United 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bangkok Utd Ayutthaya United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangkok Utd's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Ayutthaya United has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ayutthaya United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangkok Utd VS Ayutthaya United

0.88 Goals Scored 0.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Buriram United F.C.	30	22	4	4	76:31	70
2	Port MTI FC	30	18	6	6	59:23	60
3	Ratchaburi	30	18	5	7	55:30	59
4	Pathum United	30	14	10	6	45:29	52
5	Bangkok Utd	30	13	11	6	43:32	50
6	Prachuap	30	11	12	7	39:37	45
7	Chiangrai Utd	30	9	13	8	36:37	40
8	Chonburi	30	10	9	11	38:41	39
9	Rayong FC	30	9	10	11	44:49	37
10	Ayutthaya United	30	8	8	14	34:50	32
11	Uthai Thani	30	7	10	13	39:44	31
12	Lamphun Warrior	30	4	17	9	35:47	29
13	Sukhothai	30	6	10	14	23:42	28
14	Muang Thong Utd	30	6	8	16	27:52	26
15	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	30	6	6	18	20:44	24
16	Kanchanaburi	30	4	11	15	29:54	23