Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bangkok Utd vs Kanchanaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Bangkok Utd Logo

Bangkok Utd

3 - 1
FT
Kanchanaburi Logo

Kanchanaburi

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Puangchan T.
30' Event
Al Ghassani M.
49' Event
Kamara A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bangkok Utd
35%
Draws
24%
Kanchanaburi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bangkok Utd lately — more wins on the board than Kanchanaburi.
  • Bangkok Utd are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Bangkok Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bangkok Utd, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangkok Utd Kanchanaburi
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Bangkok Utd vs Kanchanaburi
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Kanchanaburi
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Kanchanaburi vs Bangkok Utd
3:3
Jun 15, 2024 Thai FA Cup
Bangkok Utd vs Kanchanaburi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Puangchan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ghassani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kanchanaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamara A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok Utd 68 / 100
Kanchanaburi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangkok Utd Kanchanaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangkok Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bangkok Utd scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Defensive concern: Kanchanaburi conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bangkok Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangkok Utd VS Kanchanaburi
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangkok Utd

(Home)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1
Sisaket United
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7

Kanchanaburi

(Away)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
06 Sept
Satun FC
2 : 4
Kanchanaburi
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Phichit United 1
Udon Thani City 0
Chiangrai Utd 19
Sing Pathumthani 0
Prime Bangkok 1
Khonkaen FC 0
Royal Thai Fleet FC 1
FC ACDC 0
Uthai Thani 3
Kasem Bundit 0
Chiangmai United 2
Prachuap 6
Pathum United 4
Kamphaeng Phet 0
Surin Sugar 2
Ubonkids City 9
Muang Thong Utd 10
Romklao United 0
Surat Thani City 1
Lamphun Warrior 4
Sukhothai 3
Yala 1
Thonburi Forest 0
Nong Bua Pitchaya 7
Burapha United 0
Port MTI FC 4
Bangkok Utd 7
Samut Sakhon City 0
Kanchanaburi 4
Nara United 0
Chonburi 1
Police Tero 2
Customs Utd 3
Nonthaburi United 0
Buriram United F.C. 12
Warin Chamrap 0
See Khwae City 0
Pattani 1
Cha Choeng Sao 0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1
Samui United 2
Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng 0
Nong Khai FC 0
Khonkaen United 5
Bankhai United 5
Nakhon Nayok 0
Kasetsart 1
Nakhon Pathom 2
Ayutthaya United 1
Udon United 0
Roi Et 2018 2
Samut Songkhram City 0
Siwilai 0
Uttaradit FC 2
Pattaya City 1
Chiangmai FC 0
Marines FC 0
Sisaket United 3
Mahasarakham 1
Rayong FC 4
Muangnont 0
Phitsanulok 1
Lopburi City 2
Ratchaburi 3
1/16-finals
Phichit United 2
Chiangrai Utd 3
Prime Bangkok 3
Royal Thai Fleet FC 2
Uthai Thani 0
Prachuap 1
Pathum United 10
Ubonkids City 0
Muang Thong Utd 0
Lamphun Warrior 1
Sukhothai 3
Nong Bua Pitchaya 0
Port MTI FC 0
Bangkok Utd 3
Kanchanaburi 1
Police Tero 0
Customs Utd 1
Buriram United F.C. 5
Pattani 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0
Samui United 1
Khonkaen United 3
Bankhai United 1
Nakhon Pathom 3
Ayutthaya United 6
Roi Et 2018 0
Uttaradit FC 1
Pattaya City 0
Sisaket United 1
Rayong FC 0
Phitsanulok 1
Ratchaburi 2
1/8-finals
Chiangrai Utd 3
Prime Bangkok 2
Prachuap 1
Pathum United 0
Lamphun Warrior 2
Sukhothai 0
Bangkok Utd 3
Kanchanaburi 1
Buriram United F.C. 4
Pattani 0
Khonkaen United 2
Nakhon Pathom 0
Ayutthaya United 3
Uttaradit FC 0
Sisaket United 1
Ratchaburi 3
Quarter-finals
Chiangrai Utd 0
Prachuap 1
Lamphun Warrior 2
Bangkok Utd 1
Buriram United F.C. 6
Khonkaen United 0
Ayutthaya United 1
Ratchaburi 0
Semi-finals
Prachuap 1
Lamphun Warrior 0
Buriram United F.C. 5
Ayutthaya United 0
Final
Prachuap 0
Buriram United F.C. 1