Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bangkok Utd vs Ratchaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rakotoharimalala N.
Assist: Curran J.
15' Event
Deni Junior
Assist: Placeres T.
41'
Sub
Curran J. In: Promrak A.
Out: Curran J.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Bangkok Utd and Ratchaburi finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ratchaburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bangkok Utd
30%
Draws
47%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ratchaburi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ratchaburi a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangkok Utd Ratchaburi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Ratchaburi
1:4
Sep 28, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Utd
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Utd
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Ratchaburi
0:0
Apr 4, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Utd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivaldinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Placeres T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rakotoharimalala N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok Utd 10 / 100
Ratchaburi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangkok Utd Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangkok Utd found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Ratchaburi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bangkok Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangkok Utd VS Ratchaburi
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangkok Utd

(Home)
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
29 Apr
Uthai Thani
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
25 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
2 : 0
Bangkok Utd
22 Apr
Svay Rieng
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
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Ratchaburi

(Away)
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)