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Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026 Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ahammed A.
21'
Hossen I.
44'
Sub
Bablu M. In: Moin M. I.
Out: Bablu M.

AI Match Summary

The BFL 2025/2026 game between Bangladesh Police and Arambagh finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangladesh Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bangladesh Police
35%
Draws
13%
Arambagh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangladesh Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangladesh Police come out ahead of Arambagh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bangladesh Police a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular BFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bangladesh Police have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bangladesh Police Clean Sheet 20%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh Police Arambagh
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.22 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh
2:0
Dec 26, 2025 BFL
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
0:3
Dec 2, 2025 Federation Cup
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
0:1
Aug 19, 2021 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh
1:0
Feb 25, 2021 BFL
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbi Hossen Rahul M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kagimu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arambagh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh Police 85 / 100
Arambagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh Police Arambagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangladesh Police's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Arambagh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bangladesh Police has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh Police VS Arambagh
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh Police

(Home)
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
11 Aug
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
08 May
Bashundara Kings
1 : 1
Bangladesh Police
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Arambagh

(Away)
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
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