Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ahammed A.
21'
Hossen I.
44'
Sub
Bablu M. In: Moin M. I.
Out: Bablu M.

AI Match Summary

The BFL game between Bangladesh Police and Arambagh finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangladesh Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bangladesh Police
6%
Draws
4%
Arambagh
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bangladesh Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangladesh Police come out ahead of Arambagh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bangladesh Police a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular BFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bangladesh Police have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Bangladesh Police Clean Sheet 18%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh Police Arambagh
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh
2:0
Dec 26, 2025 BFL
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
0:3
Dec 2, 2025 Federation Cup
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
0:1
Aug 19, 2021 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh
1:0
Feb 25, 2021 BFL
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbi Hossen Rahul M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kagimu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arambagh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh Police 85 / 100
Arambagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh Police Arambagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangladesh Police's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Arambagh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Bangladesh Police stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh Police VS Arambagh
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh Police

(Home)
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
08 May
Bashundara Kings
1 : 1
Bangladesh Police
01 May
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
PWD Sports Club
25 Apr
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 3
Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 7

Arambagh

(Away)
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
24 Apr
Arambagh
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 6