Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bangladesh Police vs Mohammedan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026 Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Uddin R.
27'
Paulo Henrique
27'
Muzaffarov M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this BFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bangladesh Police
20%
Draws
42%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mohammedan have won more games recently than Bangladesh Police.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular BFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bangladesh Police Clean Sheet 20%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh Police Mohammedan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 BFL
Mohammedan vs Bangladesh Police
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Mohammedan
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Federation Cup
Bangladesh Police vs Mohammedan
2:3
May 2, 2025 BFL
Mohammedan vs Bangladesh Police
3:1
Dec 20, 2024 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Mohammedan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Bablu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Uddin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh Police 32 / 100
Mohammedan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh Police Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Bangladesh Police scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Mohammedan conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Bangladesh Police remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh Police VS Mohammedan
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh Police

(Home)
06 Oct
Bangladesh Police
1 : 1
City Club
02 Oct
Chattogram
0 : 3
Bangladesh Police
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
11 Aug
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 6

Mohammedan

(Away)
06 Oct
Mohammedan
3 : 1
Arambagh
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6