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Bangladesh U20 vs Nepal U20

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship U20 2022
Bangladesh U20 Logo

Bangladesh U20

1 - 1
FT
Nepal U20 Logo

Nepal U20

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Nova M.
68' Event
Malla N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this SAFF Championship U20 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bangladesh U20
15%
Draws
46%
Nepal U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bangladesh U20 have won more games recently than Nepal U20.
  • Nepal U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bangladesh U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh U20 Nepal U20
Matches Played 24 20
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20
0:1
Aug 28, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20
1:4
Aug 22, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20
2:1
Sep 18, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20
0:3
Aug 2, 2022 SAFF Championship U20
Bangladesh U20 vs Nepal U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nova M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nepal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malla N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh U20 24 / 100
Nepal U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh U20 Nepal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Bangladesh U20's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Bangladesh U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh U20 VS Nepal U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh U20

(Home)
06 Sept
India U20
3 : 0
Bangladesh U20
03 Sept
Bangladesh U20
0 : 3
Syria U20
31 Aug
Uzbekistan U20
2 : 0
Bangladesh U20
03 Apr
Bangladesh U20
1 : 0
India U20
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
Page 1 of 5

Nepal U20

(Away)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh U20 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 India U20 4 3 0 1 14:2 9
3 Nepal U20 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
4 Maldives U20 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
5 Sri Lanka U20 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)