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Bangladesh U23 vs Philippines U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Muens G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Philippines U23 in this AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bangladesh U23
30%
Draws
42%
Philippines U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Philippines U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Philippines U23 have won more games recently than Bangladesh U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Philippines U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Philippines U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Bangladesh U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Philippines U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh U23 Philippines U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bangladesh U23 vs Philippines U23
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh U23 41 / 100
Philippines U23 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh U23 Philippines U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Bangladesh U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Bangladesh U23 scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh U23 VS Philippines U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh U23

(Home)
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1
Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Pakistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
09 Sept
Singapore U23
1 : 4
Bangladesh U23
06 Sept
Bangladesh U23
0 : 1
Yemen U23
Page 1 of 6

Philippines U23

(Away)
22 Sept
Philippines U23
2 : 1
Kuwait U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Philippines U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Oman U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Syria U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:23 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Myanmar U23 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
4 Qatar U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Singapore U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Guam U23 3 0 1 2 2:12 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Iran U23 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Afghanistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 21:2 7
2 Kuwait U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 China U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
4 Maldives U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Laos U23 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
4 North Korea U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U23 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 5:9 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 2 2 0 0 11:0 6
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams