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Bangladesh U23 vs Thailand U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Thodsanit P.
45' Event
Thodsanit P.
87' Event
Doloh A.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 game between Bangladesh U23 and Thailand U23 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thailand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bangladesh U23
17%
Draws
13%
Thailand U23
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bangladesh U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Thailand U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Bangladesh U23 taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bangladesh U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh U23 Thailand U23
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bangladesh U23 vs Thailand U23
0:3
Aug 16, 2018 Asian Games
Bangladesh U23 vs Thailand U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thodsanit P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Doloh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh U23 67 / 100
Thailand U23 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh U23 Thailand U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Thailand U23 conceded in 65% of 40 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bangladesh U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Thailand U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh U23 VS Thailand U23
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
40% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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4Brunei U2330030:230
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U2322004:06
2Kyrgyzstan U2320111:21
3Myanmar U2320111:41
4Qatar U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U2332109:27
2Yemen U2332018:26
3Singapore U2330213:62
4Guam U2330122:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U2332107:07
2Palestine U2332013:26
3Bahrain U2331113:24
4Pakistan U2330032:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U23330019:19
2Iran U2332017:16
3Afghanistan U2330121:121
4Hong Kong U2330120:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U23321021:27
2Kuwait U2332109:27
3Timor-Leste U2331025:103
4Macau U2330030:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1United Arab Emirates U2321103:04
2China U2321102:14
3India U2320021:50
4Maldives U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand U2333009:09
2Malaysia U2332016:16
3Philippines U2331021:93
4Bangladesh U2330030:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U2321108:24
2Tajikistan U2321103:24
3Laos U2320022:90
4North Korea U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U23330012:29
2Cambodia U2331115:94
3Lebanon U2330213:62
4Mongolia U2330123:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indonesia U23220011:06
2Turkmenistan U2321014:23
3Chinese Taipei U2320020:130