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Bangladesh vs Maldives - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024 Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Ridoy M.
18' Event
Fasir A.
37'
Aiham A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Bangladesh and Maldives finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maldives.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bangladesh
15%
Draws
21%
Maldives
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangladesh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maldives come out ahead of Bangladesh on wins alone.
  • Bangladesh are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bangladesh Clean Sheet 68%
Maldives Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh Maldives
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.83 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Friendly International
Bangladesh vs Maldives
2:1
Nov 13, 2024 Friendly International
Bangladesh vs Maldives
0:1
Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Bangladesh vs Maldives
2:1
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Maldives vs Bangladesh
1:1
Jun 25, 2023 SAFF Championship
Bangladesh vs Maldives
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Maldives Compare

Top Goalscorer Fasir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh 68 / 100
Maldives 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh Maldives

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldives has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Maldives's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bangladesh scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh VS Maldives
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh

(Home)
01 Oct
Indonesia
9 : 2
Bangladesh
28 Sept
Singapore
1 : 0
Bangladesh
25 Sept
Bangladesh
0 : 3
Malaysia
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
Singapore
1 : 0
Bangladesh
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Maldives

(Away)
01 Oct
Maldives
0 : 6
Lebanon
28 Sept
Kyrgyzstan
5 : 0
Maldives
24 Sept
China
3 : 0
Maldives
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1
Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3
Pakistan
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