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Bangladesh W vs Uzbekistan W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women HBF Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Akter M.
10' Event
Khabibullaeva D.
Assist: Kudratova N.
46'
Sub
Turdiboeva F. In: Aminjonova A.
Out: Turdiboeva F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Uzbekistan W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bangladesh W
39%
Draws
30%
Uzbekistan W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangladesh W come out ahead of Uzbekistan W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Bangladesh W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uzbekistan W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bangladesh W Clean Sheet 10%
Uzbekistan W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh W Uzbekistan W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Bangladesh W vs Uzbekistan W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Uzbekistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nozimova D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khabibullaeva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh W 30 / 100
Uzbekistan W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh W Uzbekistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UZB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bangladesh W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Uzbekistan W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Uzbekistan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh W VS Uzbekistan W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh W

(Home)
06 Jun
Bangladesh W
1 : 3
India W
03 Jun
Nepal W
1 : 2
Bangladesh W
31 May
India W
3 : 0
Bangladesh W
28 May
Bangladesh W
4 : 2
Maldives W
09 Mar
Bangladesh W
0 : 4
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 6

Uzbekistan W

(Away)
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
03 Jun
Myanmar W
0 : 1
Uzbekistan W
19 Mar
Uzbekistan W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Mar
South Korea W
6 : 0
Uzbekistan W
09 Mar
Bangladesh W
0 : 4
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea W32109:37
2Australia W32108:37
3Philippines W31022:43
4Iran W30030:90
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China W33007:19
2North Korea W32019:26
3Uzbekistan W31024:63
4Bangladesh W30030:110
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan W330017:09
2Chinese Taipei W32014:36
3Vietnam W31022:63
4India W30032:160
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams