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Bangor Celtic vs Cherry Orchard

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2017
Fri, Apr 28, 2017
3 - 2
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Bangor Celtic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bangor Celtic
15%
Draws
34%
Cherry Orchard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangor Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cherry Orchard come out ahead of Bangor Celtic on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cherry Orchard arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bangor Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bangor Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor Celtic Cherry Orchard
Matches Played 17 21
Wins 5 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2017 FAI Cup
Bangor Celtic vs Cherry Orchard
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor Celtic 34 / 100
Cherry Orchard 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor Celtic Cherry Orchard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherry Orchard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Bangor Celtic found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

Cherry Orchard let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Cherry Orchard lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangor Celtic VS Cherry Orchard
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangor Celtic

(Home)
18 Jul
Bangor Celtic
4 : 5
College Corinthians
10 May
Bangor Celtic
4 : 1
River Valley Rangers
19 Jul
Bangor Celtic
0 : 2
Cobh Ramblers
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2
Bangor Celtic
22 Jul
Galway United
4 : 1
Bangor Celtic
Page 1 of 4

Cherry Orchard

(Away)
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3
Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0
Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2
Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1
Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd -
Cobh Wanderers 1
Edenderry Town 0
Boyle Celtic 0
Killarney Celtic 1
Evergreen United 3
St. Marys 2
TBD -
Drogheda -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Glenville -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Portmarnock -
Killester Donnycarney 2
Ballymun Utd 1
TBD -
Galway United -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Everton AFC 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
Cherry Orchard 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone -
TBD -
College Corinthians 0
Ballincollig 1
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 0
Wexford 1
Crumlin Utd 2
Cobh Wanderers 3
Killarney Celtic 0
Evergreen United 0
Drogheda 4
Bluebell Utd 3
Sheriff YC 0
UC Dublin 1
Cabinteely 3
Shelbourne 3
Waterford 0
Glenville 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 3
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 3
Finn Harps 4
St. Patricks 2
Portmarnock 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Galway United 4
Longford 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Everton AFC 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone 5
Ballincollig 0
Bray 0
Cork City 1
1/8-finals
Dundalk 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Cobh Wanderers 1
Drogheda 5
Bluebell Utd 1
Cabinteely 0
Shelbourne 0
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 1
Finn Harps 0
St. Patricks 0
Galway United 2
Longford 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Athlone 0
Cork City 7
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 4
Drogheda 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Limerick 2
Galway United 1
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Semi-finals
Dundalk 5
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 0
Cork City 1
Final
Dundalk 1
Cork City 2