Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bangor Celtic vs Longford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Cowan D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Longford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bangor Celtic
15%
Draws
46%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Longford come out ahead of Bangor Celtic on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Longford taking it.
  • Longford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Longford, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bangor Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Longford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor Celtic Longford
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2021 FAI Cup
Longford vs Bangor Celtic
5:0
Aug 25, 2017 FAI Cup
Bangor Celtic vs Longford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangor Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Cowan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor Celtic 22 / 100
Longford 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor Celtic Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor Celtic found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

Longford has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bangor Celtic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangor Celtic VS Longford
4 Goals Scored 3
5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangor Celtic

(Home)
18 Jul
Bangor Celtic
4 : 5
College Corinthians
10 May
Bangor Celtic
4 : 1
River Valley Rangers
19 Jul
Bangor Celtic
0 : 2
Cobh Ramblers
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2
Bangor Celtic
22 Jul
Galway United
4 : 1
Bangor Celtic
Page 1 of 4

Longford

(Away)
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd -
Cobh Wanderers 1
Edenderry Town 0
Boyle Celtic 0
Killarney Celtic 1
Evergreen United 3
St. Marys 2
TBD -
Drogheda -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Glenville -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Portmarnock -
Killester Donnycarney 2
Ballymun Utd 1
TBD -
Galway United -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Everton AFC 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
Cherry Orchard 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone -
TBD -
College Corinthians 0
Ballincollig 1
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 0
Wexford 1
Crumlin Utd 2
Cobh Wanderers 3
Killarney Celtic 0
Evergreen United 0
Drogheda 4
Bluebell Utd 3
Sheriff YC 0
UC Dublin 1
Cabinteely 3
Shelbourne 3
Waterford 0
Glenville 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 3
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 3
Finn Harps 4
St. Patricks 2
Portmarnock 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Galway United 4
Longford 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Everton AFC 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone 5
Ballincollig 0
Bray 0
Cork City 1
1/8-finals
Dundalk 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Cobh Wanderers 1
Drogheda 5
Bluebell Utd 1
Cabinteely 0
Shelbourne 0
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 1
Finn Harps 0
St. Patricks 0
Galway United 2
Longford 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Athlone 0
Cork City 7
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 4
Drogheda 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Limerick 2
Galway United 1
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Semi-finals
Dundalk 5
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 0
Cork City 1
Final
Dundalk 1
Cork City 2