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Bangu U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bruno
45' Event
Kauan
81' Event
Sales Y.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 game between Bangu U20 and Sampaio Correa FE U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampaio Correa FE U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bangu U20
15%
Draws
46%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangu U20 come out ahead of Sampaio Correa FE U20 on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Bangu U20 taking it.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Bangu U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangu U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.91 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Carioca U20
Bangu U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Bangu U20
3:1
Jul 27, 2024 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Bangu U20
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Bangu U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sales Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangu U20 59 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangu U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangu U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Bangu U20 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Bangu U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangu U20 VS Sampaio Correa FE U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangu U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
0 : 3
Bangu U20
19 Sept
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
04 Sept
Bangu U20
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
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Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Away)
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
29 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE U20
2 : 1
Portuguesa RJ U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 8 7 1 0 22:6 22
2 Flamengo RJ U20 8 7 0 1 22:8 21
3 Vasco U20 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
4 Sampaio Correa FE U20 8 4 2 2 12:14 14
5 Botafogo RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
6 Marica U20 8 2 2 4 10:11 8
7 Madureira U20 7 1 5 1 9:11 8
8 Bangu U20 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
9 Boavista U20 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
10 Nova Iguacu U20 8 1 3 4 9:16 6
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 8 1 2 5 4:11 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 8 0 2 6 4:16 2
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)