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Bangu vs Boavista

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Proletario Guilherme da Silveira Filho (Moca Bonita), Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

47'
54' Event
Bruno Jesus
Assist: Isael
66'
Sub
Bere In: Lucas Silva
Out: Bere

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bangu
35%
Draws
45%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Boavista haven't matched Bangu's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Boavista's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bangu Clean Sheet 18%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangu Boavista
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Carioca
Bangu vs Boavista
1:1
Feb 5, 2025 Carioca
Bangu vs Boavista
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Carioca
Boavista vs Bangu
5:3
Jan 15, 2023 Carioca
Boavista vs Bangu
2:2
Mar 6, 2022 Carioca
Boavista vs Bangu
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Jesus
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangu 10 / 100
Boavista 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangu Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bangu's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Boavista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Bangu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bangu VS Boavista
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangu

(Home)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1
Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1
Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Boavista

(Away)
26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0
Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0
Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0
Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense 6 5 0 1 9:5 15
2 Vasco 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Volta Redonda 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Bangu 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
5 Portuguesa RJ 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
Promotion - Carioca (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
2 Madureira 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
3 Boavista 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
4 Flamengo RJ 6 2 1 3 11:9 7
5 Nova Iguacu 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
6 Marica 6 1 0 5 5:10 3
Promotion - Carioca (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca (Relegation Group)