Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bangu vs Flamengo RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Proletario Guilherme da Silveira Filho (Moca Bonita), Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Goes J.
4' Event
Patryck
Assist: Garrinsha
12' Event
Garrinsha
Assist: Walber

AI Match Summary

The Carioca game between Bangu and Flamengo RJ finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Bangu
30%
Draws
51%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo RJ come out ahead of Bangu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bangu Clean Sheet 11%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangu Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 12 21
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1 2.15
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Carioca
Bangu vs Flamengo RJ
2:1
Jan 22, 2025 Carioca
Bangu vs Flamengo RJ
0:5
Feb 16, 2024 Carioca
Bangu vs Flamengo RJ
0:3
Jan 25, 2023 Carioca
Bangu vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 Carioca
Bangu vs Flamengo RJ
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangu Compare

Top Goalscorer Patryck
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garrinsha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangu 10 / 100
Flamengo RJ 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangu Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bangu's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Bangu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Flamengo RJ let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangu VS Flamengo RJ
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangu

(Home)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1
Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1
Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Flamengo RJ

(Away)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense 6 5 0 1 9:5 15
2 Vasco 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Volta Redonda 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Bangu 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
5 Portuguesa RJ 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
Promotion - Carioca (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
2 Madureira 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
3 Boavista 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
4 Flamengo RJ 6 2 1 3 11:9 7
5 Nova Iguacu 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
6 Marica 6 1 0 5 5:10 3
Promotion - Carioca (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca (Relegation Group)