Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bangu vs Volta Redonda

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Proletario Guilherme da Silveira Filho (Moca Bonita), Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Ricardo Sena
8'
Gilberto
18'
Wellington Silva

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bangu
20%
Draws
30%
Volta Redonda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bangu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Volta Redonda haven't matched Bangu's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bangu's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Bangu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Volta Redonda, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bangu Clean Sheet 68%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangu Volta Redonda
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Carioca
Volta Redonda vs Bangu
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Carioca
Bangu vs Volta Redonda
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Carioca
Bangu vs Volta Redonda
0:1
Feb 7, 2024 Carioca
Bangu vs Volta Redonda
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 Carioca
Bangu vs Volta Redonda
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangu Compare

Top Goalscorer Patryck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Volta Redonda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangu 50 / 100
Volta Redonda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangu Volta Redonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bangu scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Volta Redonda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bangu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangu VS Volta Redonda
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangu

(Home)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1
Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1
Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 6

Volta Redonda

(Away)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bangu 2
Volta Redonda 1
Boavista 0
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Bangu 1
Botafogo RJ 3