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Bangwe All Stars vs Moyale Barracks Prediction & H2H Stats

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Chilembwe K.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024 game between Bangwe All Stars and Moyale Barracks finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangwe All Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bangwe All Stars
20%
Draws
58%
Moyale Barracks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moyale Barracks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Moyale Barracks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Moyale Barracks taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bangwe All Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Moyale Barracks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangwe All Stars Moyale Barracks
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.57 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Moyale Barracks
1:0
Jul 24, 2024 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs Bangwe All Stars
1:1
Aug 27, 2023 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs Bangwe All Stars
1:1
Jul 8, 2023 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Moyale Barracks
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangwe All Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Chilembwe K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Moyale Barracks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangwe All Stars 10 / 100
Moyale Barracks 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangwe All Stars Moyale Barracks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moyale Barracks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moyale Barracks has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Bangwe All Stars's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bangwe All Stars stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moyale Barracks
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangwe All Stars

(Home)
11 Dec
Mighty Wanderers FC
5 : 0
Bangwe All Stars
07 Dec
Bangwe All Stars
1 : 4
Creck Sporting
01 Dec
Karonga United
2 : 0
Bangwe All Stars
20 Nov
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 0
Bangwe All Stars
16 Nov
Bangwe All Stars
1 : 0
Civo Utd
Page 1 of 6

Moyale Barracks

(Away)
05 Sept
MAFCO
1 : 2
Moyale Barracks
22 Aug
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2
Kamuzu Barracks
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0
Moyale Barracks
08 Aug
Moyale Barracks
1 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 30 19 10 1 58:17 67
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 17 7 6 57:19 58
3 Big Bullets 30 14 13 3 42:20 55
4 Mzuzu City 30 13 9 8 31:32 48
5 Civo Utd 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Creck Sporting 30 10 12 8 44:33 42
7 Karonga United 30 11 9 10 30:30 42
8 Moyale Barracks 30 9 12 9 30:27 39
9 MAFCO 30 9 12 9 30:39 39
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 8 13 9 30:29 37
11 Dedza Dynamos 30 7 15 8 32:31 36
12 Mighty Tigers 30 8 11 11 26:38 35
13 Chitipa United 30 7 8 15 35:46 29
14 FOMO FC 30 8 5 17 20:38 29
15 Bangwe All Stars 30 6 9 15 17:34 27
16 Baka City 30 2 7 21 17:74 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)