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Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Bansko and Septemvri Simitli finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bansko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bansko
15%
Draws
26%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bansko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Simitli come out ahead of Bansko on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bansko's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bansko Clean Sheet 16%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bansko Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bansko 66 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bansko Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bansko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bansko scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Septemvri Simitli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bansko stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bansko VS Septemvri Simitli
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bansko

(Home)
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
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