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Bansko vs Velbazhd Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bansko in this Third League - South-West 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bansko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bansko
15%
Draws
0%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bansko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bansko lately — more wins on the board than Velbazhd Kyustendil.
  • Win probability leans Bansko's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bansko Clean Sheet 20%
Velbazhd Kyustendil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bansko Velbazhd Kyustendil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.35 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
1:0
Oct 3, 2020 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Bansko
1:0
Apr 10, 2019 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
2:1
Sep 29, 2018 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Bansko
0:3
Apr 26, 2009 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bansko 85 / 100
Velbazhd Kyustendil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bansko Velbazhd Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bansko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Bansko stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Velbazhd Kyustendil lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bansko scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Velbazhd Kyustendil conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bansko VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bansko

(Home)
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Bansko
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1
Pirin Razlog
08 Aug
Natsional Sofia
2 : 2
Bansko
01 Aug
Bansko
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 7

Velbazhd Kyustendil

(Away)
29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1
Velbazhd Kyustendil
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2
Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5
Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)