Sport Picks
Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo 
Match Events
22'
22'
Arnedo A.
30'
30'
Troncho A.
37'
37'
Gomez B.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Barakaldo and Arenas Getxo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barakaldo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barakaldo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Barakaldo's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 16%
Arenas Getxo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barakaldo | Arenas Getxo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo
0:0
Jan 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barakaldo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Arenas Getxo Compare
Top Goalscorer Dufur A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barakaldo 84 / 100
Arenas Getxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barakaldo Arenas Getxo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barakaldo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arenas Getxo let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Barakaldo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Barakaldo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barakaldo VS Arenas Getxo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barakaldo
(Home) 03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3 Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0 Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3 Real Aviles
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0 Leonesa
12 Aug
Barakaldo
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 3
Arenas Getxo
(Away) 03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenas Getxo
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3 Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0 Arenas Getxo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2 Zamora
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1 Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenas Getxo
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0 Arenas Getxo
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1 Arenas Getxo
22 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 0 Arenas Getxo
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 16 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Union | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo Fabril | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 13 | CD Extremadura | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | AD Merida | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Aviles | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:10 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:14 | 2 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
