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Barakaldo vs Ath Bilbao B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ruiz M.
45' Event
Oyono I.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Badiola A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Barakaldo and Ath Bilbao B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barakaldo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barakaldo
30%
Draws
47%
Ath Bilbao B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Barakaldo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ath Bilbao B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 14%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo Ath Bilbao B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Barakaldo vs Ath Bilbao B
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Barakaldo
2:0
Oct 10, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Ath Bilbao B
2:1
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Ath Bilbao B vs Barakaldo
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Ath Bilbao B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barakaldo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badiola A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ath Bilbao B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 19 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo Ath Bilbao B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barakaldo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ath Bilbao B has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Barakaldo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS Ath Bilbao B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
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Ath Bilbao B

(Away)
04 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 3
CD Extremadura
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
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