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Barakaldo vs CD Extremadura

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Zoilo A.
10'
Sub
Morcillo L. In: Lecic L.
Out: Morcillo L.
32' Event
Mattheus C.
Assist: Huidobro J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Barakaldo and CD Extremadura finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barakaldo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Barakaldo
15%
Draws
48%
CD Extremadura
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Extremadura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Extremadura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Extremadura a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 11%
CD Extremadura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo CD Extremadura
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.41 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs CD Extremadura
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barakaldo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattheus C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Extremadura Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 22 / 100
CD Extremadura 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo CD Extremadura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Extremadura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barakaldo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Extremadura has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Barakaldo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS CD Extremadura
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Barakaldo
12 Aug
Barakaldo
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

CD Extremadura

(Away)
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1
CD Extremadura
22 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
19 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 1
Betis B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Cacereno 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Lugo 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
5 Real Union 4 2 1 1 12:8 7
6 Mirandes 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
7 Pontevedra 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
8 Racing Club Ferrol 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Ponferradina 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
10 Leonesa 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
11 Deportivo Fabril 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
12 Real Aviles 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 CD Coria 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
14 Zamora 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
15 Barakaldo 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 AD Merida 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
17 CD Extremadura 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
19 Arenas Getxo 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
20 UD Ourense 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)