Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barakaldo vs Zarautz KE Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 game between Barakaldo and Zarautz KE finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barakaldo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Barakaldo
30%
Draws
31%
Zarautz KE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barakaldo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Barakaldo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 20%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo Zarautz KE
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Barakaldo vs Zarautz KE
2:0
Sep 24, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Barakaldo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 31 / 100
Zarautz KE 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo Zarautz KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barakaldo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barakaldo scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Zarautz KE let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Barakaldo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS Zarautz KE
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 7

Zarautz KE

(Away)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 24 5 9 70:24 77
2 Barakaldo 38 22 10 6 58:29 76
3 Portugalete 38 21 11 6 60:29 74
4 Beasain 38 20 12 6 58:34 72
5 Zalla UC 38 20 12 6 57:34 72
6 Gernika Club 38 18 10 10 50:37 64
7 SCD Durango 38 18 9 11 49:41 63
8 Leioa 38 12 19 7 45:37 55
9 Zamudio 38 14 12 12 42:43 54
10 Basconia 38 13 8 17 67:67 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 10 16 12 29:31 46
12 Elgoibar 38 12 9 17 41:49 45
13 Eibar B 38 10 14 14 36:46 44
14 Arenas Getxo 38 11 10 17 45:46 43
15 Santutxu FC 38 9 13 16 36:56 40
16 Balmaseda 38 8 16 14 48:57 40
17 Alaves B 38 11 7 20 49:71 40
18 CD Vitoria 38 6 13 19 43:66 31
19 Hernani 38 6 8 24 31:71 26
20 Zarautz KE 38 4 8 26 28:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)