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Barau vs Gombe

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL 2024/2025 game between Barau and Gombe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Barau
30%
Draws
23%
Gombe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Barau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Barau's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NNL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Barau Clean Sheet 20%
Gombe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barau Gombe
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.16 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 NNL
Barau vs Gombe
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 NNL
Gombe vs Barau
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barau 58 / 100
Gombe 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barau Gombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barau scored in 62% of their last 37 games.

Gombe let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Barau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barau VS Gombe
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barau

(Home)
13 Sept
Barau
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
06 Sept
Kun Khalifa
0 : 0
Barau
30 Aug
Barau
3 : 1
Nasarawa United
11 Jun
Ikorodu City
3 : 2
Barau
06 Jun
Sunshine Stars U19
1 : 2
Barau
Page 1 of 8

Gombe

(Away)
01 Jun
Enyimba International
1 : 0
Gombe
22 Apr
Gombe
2 : 0
Ranchers Bees
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
08 Mar
Gombe
1 : 1
Yobe Stars
27 Feb
Kebbi
0 : 0
Gombe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warri Wolves 18 11 6 1 27:11 39
2 Crown FC 18 11 3 4 17:13 36
3 Inter Lagos 18 8 6 4 24:11 30
4 Smart City 18 7 7 4 20:17 28
5 Beyond Limits FC 18 6 6 6 30:23 24
6 Abia Comets 18 5 8 5 17:14 23
7 Edel FC 18 6 3 9 19:20 21
8 Dakkada FC 18 3 9 6 22:27 18
9 Ijele 18 4 3 11 17:33 15
10 Igbajo 18 2 3 13 7:31 9
11 1472 FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kun Khalifa 20 10 7 3 21:13 37
2 Osun United 20 11 3 6 21:13 36
3 Sporting Lagos 20 9 5 6 27:16 32
4 Rovers FC 20 9 4 7 23:21 31
5 Solution 20 8 5 7 27:24 29
6 ABS 20 8 2 10 18:23 26
7 Godswill Akpabio 20 6 6 8 22:19 24
8 First Bank 20 7 3 10 17:26 24
9 Abakaliki 20 6 5 9 17:20 23
10 Madiba 20 7 2 11 25:33 23
11 Gateway United 20 6 4 10 21:31 22
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wikki Tourists 12 7 2 3 21:10 23
2 Barau 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
3 Gombe 12 6 0 6 13:11 18
4 Sokoto United 12 5 1 6 8:9 16
5 Mighty Jets 12 4 3 5 9:12 15
6 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 4 2 6 11:16 14
7 Zamfara United 12 4 2 6 10:18 14
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yobe Stars 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
2 Doma United 12 5 4 3 14:11 19
3 Kebbi 12 5 3 4 18:14 18
4 Basira 12 4 4 4 13:14 16
5 Sporting Supreme 12 5 1 6 13:17 16
6 Kada Warriors 12 4 3 5 12:16 15
7 Adamawa Utd 12 4 1 7 15:18 13
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)