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Barau vs Ranchers Bees

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barau host Ranchers Bees in the NPFL. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Barau have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.66 conceded recently, against Ranchers Bees's 0.83 scored and 1.48 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.19 - 0.88) back Barau to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Barau
15%
Draws
32%
Ranchers Bees
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Barau have won more games recently than Ranchers Bees.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Barau taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Barau Clean Sheet 20%
Ranchers Bees Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barau Ranchers Bees
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 11 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barau 40 / 100
Ranchers Bees 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barau Ranchers Bees

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ranchers Bees conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Barau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Ranchers Bees registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Barau scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barau VS Ranchers Bees
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barau

(Home)
06 Sept
Kun Khalifa
0 : 0
Barau
30 Aug
Barau
3 : 1
Nasarawa United
11 Jun
Ikorodu City
3 : 2
Barau
06 Jun
Sunshine Stars U19
1 : 2
Barau
01 Jun
Barau
1 : 0
Abakaliki
Page 1 of 7

Ranchers Bees

(Away)
07 Sept
Ranchers Bees
4 : 0
Abia Warriors
30 Aug
Ikorodu City
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
08 May
Doma United
1 : 3
Ranchers Bees
06 May
Ranchers Bees
0 : 2
Inter Lagos
04 May
Sporting Lagos
1 : 0
Ranchers Bees
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Barau 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Kano Pillars 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
4 Ranchers Bees 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
5 Ikorodu City 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6 Rivers United 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Shooting 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Niger Tornadoes 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bendel 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Nasarawa United 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Plateau United 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Kun Khalifa 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
13 Rangers International 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Katsina Utd 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
15 Kwara 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 Abia Warriors 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
17 Enyimba International 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Warri Wolves 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Inter Lagos 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
20 Sporting Lagos 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)