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Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Baraunas and CE Forca E Luz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baraunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baraunas
6%
Draws
4%
CE Forca E Luz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baraunas come out ahead of CE Forca E Luz on wins alone.
  • Baraunas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 20%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baraunas CE Forca E Luz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Baraunas
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
1:0
Feb 7, 2024 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Baraunas
1:2
Jan 10, 2024 Potiguar
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
2:0
Mar 21, 2018 Potiguar
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baraunas 85 / 100
CE Forca E Luz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baraunas CE Forca E Luz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Forca E Luz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Baraunas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Baraunas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baraunas VS CE Forca E Luz
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%