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Barbadas-Bentraces vs Gran Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cellerino G.
49' Event
Cellerino G.
51' Event
Cellerino G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Barbadas-Bentraces and Gran Pena finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gran Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Barbadas-Bentraces
15%
Draws
65%
Gran Pena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gran Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gran Pena come out ahead of Barbadas-Bentraces on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gran Pena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Barbadas-Bentraces Clean Sheet 20%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbadas-Bentraces Gran Pena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Gran Pena
0:4
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Barbadas-Bentraces
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Gran Pena
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Barbadas-Bentraces
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Barbadas-Bentraces
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbadas-Bentraces Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Gran Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Cellerino G.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbadas-Bentraces 10 / 100
Gran Pena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbadas-Bentraces Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbadas-Bentraces's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gran Pena has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Barbadas-Bentraces stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barbadas-Bentraces VS Gran Pena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbadas-Bentraces

(Home)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Gran Pena

(Away)
20 Sept
Gran Pena
0 : 0
Antela
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)