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Barbados vs Aruba

World World

World Championship 2026 Wildey Turf
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Leacock O.
(Penalty)
15' Event
Luydens D.
19'
Nickelson P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Barbados
28%
Draws
50%
Aruba
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aruba lately — more wins on the board than Barbados.
  • Model gives Aruba a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Barbados Clean Sheet 16%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Aruba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Barbados vs Aruba
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 World Championship
Barbados vs Aruba
1:1
Jun 14, 2015 World Championship
Barbados vs Aruba
1:0
Jun 11, 2015 World Championship
Aruba vs Barbados
0:2
Sep 28, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Aruba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Luydens D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 23 / 100
Aruba 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Aruba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aruba let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Barbados found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Barbados has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Aruba
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Honduras440012:212
2Bermuda42119:87
3Cuba42026:56
4Cayman Islands41031:93
5Antigua and Barbuda40131:51
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica440017:112
2Trinidad & Tobago421116:77
3Grenada421111:77
4Saint Kitts and Nevis41035:133
5Bahamas40041:220
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao440015:212
2Haiti430111:79
3Saint Lucia41125:94
4Aruba40223:102
5Barbados40134:101
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama440010:112
2Nicaragua43019:49
3Guyana42026:46
4Montserrat41033:103
5Belize40041:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamaica44008:212
2Guatemala430113:59
3Dominican Republic420211:56
4Dominica41035:143
5British Virgin Islands40040:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Suriname431010:210
2El Salvador42207:28
3Puerto Rico421110:27
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines41039:93
5Anguilla40040:210