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Barbados vs Aruba

World World

World Championship 2026 Wildey Turf, Bridgetown
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Leacock O.
(Penalty)
15' Event
Luydens D.
19'
Nickelson P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Barbados
15%
Draws
65%
Aruba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aruba lately — more wins on the board than Barbados.
  • Model gives Aruba a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Barbados Clean Sheet 16%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Aruba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.68 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Barbados vs Aruba
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 World Championship
Barbados vs Aruba
1:1
Jun 14, 2015 World Championship
Barbados vs Aruba
1:0
Jun 11, 2015 World Championship
Aruba vs Barbados
0:2
Sep 28, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Aruba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Luydens D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 23 / 100
Aruba 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbados scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Aruba conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Barbados has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Aruba
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
Page 1 of 7

Aruba

(Away)
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)