Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barbados vs Aruba

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, St. John's
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Poulina Q.
59' Event
Romano J.
76' Event
Fermina C.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Series game between Barbados and Aruba finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aruba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Barbados
15%
Draws
65%
Aruba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Barbados haven't matched Aruba's recent run of results.
  • Aruba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Barbados Clean Sheet 15%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Aruba
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Barbados vs Aruba
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 World Championship
Barbados vs Aruba
1:1
Jun 14, 2015 World Championship
Barbados vs Aruba
1:0
Jun 11, 2015 World Championship
Aruba vs Barbados
0:2
Sep 28, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Aruba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Poulina Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 10 / 100
Aruba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aruba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Barbados found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Barbados remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Aruba
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
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Aruba

(Away)
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
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