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Barcelona FC vs Jacobina

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2025 Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Anderson Bandeira
45' Event
Gianlucas
55'
Sub
Gabriel Nereia In: Wellington Alves
Out: Gabriel Nereia

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Barcelona FC
28%
Draws
22%
Jacobina
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Barcelona FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Jacobina have won more games recently than Barcelona FC.
  • Model gives Barcelona FC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Barcelona FC Clean Sheet 68%
Jacobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona FC Jacobina
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2025 Baiano
Barcelona FC vs Jacobina
2:2
Jan 27, 2024 Baiano
Jacobina vs Barcelona FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gianlucas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willian Bahia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Jacobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson Bandeira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Ramon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona FC 59 / 100
Jacobina 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona FC Jacobina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jacobina conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Barcelona FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jacobina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona FC VS Jacobina
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria963018:421
2Jacuipense954014:419
3Bahia953115:318
4Alagoinhas93429:613
5Porto-BA93249:1311
6Juazeirense93158:1210
7Jequie92347:109
8Barcelona FC91627:89
9Jacobina80354:163
10Colo Colo80356:213