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Barcelona SC vs Botafogo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Villalba H.
44'
Montoro A.
45'
Quinonez Ruiz J. R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barcelona SC
35%
Draws
25%
Botafogo RJ
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo RJ lately — more wins on the board than Barcelona SC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Botafogo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SC Botafogo RJ
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona SC
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
May 3, 2017 Copa Libertadores
Botafogo RJ vs Barcelona SC
0:2
Apr 21, 2017 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs Botafogo RJ
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Martins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 41 / 100
Botafogo RJ 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SC Botafogo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Botafogo RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Barcelona SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS Botafogo RJ
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo RJ

(Away)
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Juventud 5
U. Catolica 4
TBD -
Guarani -
Liverpool M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Ind. Medellin -
The Strongest 2
Dep. Tachira 3
TBD -
Deportes Tolima -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
2 de Mayo 2
A. Lima 1
TBD -
Sporting Cristal -
Carabobo -
TBD -
TBD -
Huachipato -
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Argentinos Jrs -
Nacional Potosi -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Semi-finals
Juventud 2
Guarani 1
Liverpool M. 1
Ind. Medellin 2
Dep. Tachira 1
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 3
Bahia 2
2 de Mayo 2
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 3
Huachipato 1
Barcelona SC 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Nacional Potosi 1
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Juventud 2
Ind. Medellin 3
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 1
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 2
Barcelona SC 2
Botafogo RJ 1