Sport Picks
Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil 
Match Events
27'
27'
Carabajal M.
27'
27'
Diaz D.
40'
40'
Gonzalez C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Barcelona SC in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barcelona SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente del Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Independiente del Valle have won more games recently than Barcelona SC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 18%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barcelona SC | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 23 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 2.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle
0:0
Sep 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle
2:1
May 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barcelona SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Wila J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benedetto D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Independiente del Valle Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barcelona SC 32 / 100
Independiente del Valle 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barcelona SC Independiente del Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barcelona SC scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Barcelona SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Independiente del Valle let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Barcelona SC VS Independiente del Valle
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Barcelona SC
(Home) 13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0 Orense
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 Delfin
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0 Orense
09 Aug
Barcelona SC
1 : 2 Macara
27 Jul
Barcelona SC
0 : 1 LDU Quito
Page 1 of 3
Independiente del Valle
(Away) 25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2 Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2 Independiente del Valle
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
22 Aug
Leones del Norte
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
