Sport Picks

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Barcelona SP vs Uniao Mogi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barcelona SP play Uniao Mogi in the Paulista B. Uniao Mogi are favorites here. Recently, Barcelona SP averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. Uniao Mogi averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Barcelona SP won 0, Uniao Mogi won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Barcelona SP and 1.75 for Uniao Mogi. This points to a Uniao Mogi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Barcelona SP
20%
Draws
62%
Uniao Mogi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Mogi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Barcelona SP picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Mogi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 12%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SP Uniao Mogi
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Paulista B
Barcelona SP vs Uniao Mogi
2:3
Apr 19, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Barcelona SP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Victorio Junior O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Motta H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Uniao Mogi Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beckham J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SP 19 / 100
Uniao Mogi 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SP Uniao Mogi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Mogi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Uniao Mogi & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Barcelona SP attacking → ← attacking Uniao Mogi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SP scored in 34% of their last 32 games.

Uniao Mogi let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Barcelona SP went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Mogi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 32
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jose Bonifacio EC1064017:622
2America SP1054113:719
3Assisense1035217:1514
4Tupa1041514:1613
5Riopretano101459:167
6Santa Fe SP1020810:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independente SP1080237:724
2Matonense1071228:1022
3Sao Carlos1043319:1115
4Santacruzense1042419:1314
5Mogi Mirim1040615:1512
6Catanduvense1000104:660
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo SP1072113:623
2Paulinense105059:1615
3Audax-SP1051415:913
4Paulinia FU1031611:1410
5Votoraty SP1021712:197
6Guarulhos1051419:154
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itaqua1081121:625
2Maua FC1044220:1516
3Uniao Mogi1052314:1314
4Manthiqueira1042417:1714
5Mauaense1033410:1012
6Barcelona SP1000105:260