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Barcelona SP vs Uniao Mogi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Victorio Junior O.
22' Event
Vitinho
60' Event
Beckham J.

AI Match Summary

Uniao Mogi in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Mogi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Barcelona SP
15%
Draws
85%
Uniao Mogi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Mogi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Mogi have won more games recently than Barcelona SP.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Uniao Mogi taking it.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SP Uniao Mogi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.47 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Paulista B
Barcelona SP vs Uniao Mogi
2:3
Apr 19, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Barcelona SP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Victorio Junior O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Motta H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Uniao Mogi Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beckham J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SP 10 / 100
Uniao Mogi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SP Uniao Mogi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Mogi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Mogi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Uniao Mogi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Barcelona SP found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SP VS Uniao Mogi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona SP

(Home)
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0
Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0
Barcelona SP
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3
Uniao Mogi
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Uniao Mogi

(Away)
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1
Itaqua
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)