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Barcelona vs Al Ahly

World World

Club Friendly Camp Nou, Barcelona
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Abdelkarim H.
Assist: Balde A.
45' Event
Raphinha
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Shobeir O. In: El Shenawy M.
Out: Shobeir O.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Barcelona and Al Ahly finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barcelona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Barcelona
15%
Draws
39%
Al Ahly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahly haven't matched Barcelona's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Barcelona taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Barcelona Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona Al Ahly
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 26 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Barcelona vs Al Ahly
2:1
Jul 26, 2009 Wembley Cup
Barcelona vs Al Ahly
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelkarim H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Al Ahly Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayed A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona 95 / 100
Al Ahly 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona Al Ahly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Barcelona has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Ahly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona VS Al Ahly
2.5 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona

(Home)
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
13 Sept
Levante
2 : 4
Barcelona
09 Sept
Barcelona
5 : 1
Feyenoord
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
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Al Ahly

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2
Al Ahly
23 Aug
Al Ahly
3 : 2
Enppi
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