Sport Picks
Barcelona W vs Atl. Madrid W
Spain
Copa de la Reina Women 2025/2026 Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas 
Match Events
23'
23'
Pina C.
Assist: Pajor E.
31'
31'
Brugts E.
Assist: Lopez V.
37'
37'
Paralluelo S.
AI Match Summary
Barcelona W in this Copa de la Reina Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Barcelona W lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Madrid W.
- Win probability leans Barcelona W's way, sitting at 90%.
- Barcelona W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Barcelona W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Barcelona W have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Barcelona W Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barcelona W | Atl. Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 27 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 0 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 3.9 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga F Women
Barcelona W vs Atl. Madrid W
4:2
May 16, 2026 Copa de la Reina Women
Barcelona W vs Atl. Madrid W
3:1
Jan 14, 2026 Liga F Women
Barcelona W vs Atl. Madrid W
5:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Barcelona W
0:6
Jun 7, 2025 Copa de la Reina Women
Barcelona W vs Atl. Madrid W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barcelona W Compare
Top Goalscorer Pina C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brugts E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Atl. Madrid W Compare
Top Goalscorer Boe Risa V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barcelona W 95 / 100
Atl. Madrid W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barcelona W Atl. Madrid W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barcelona W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Barcelona W scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Barcelona W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Barcelona W VS Atl. Madrid W
3.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Barcelona W
(Home) 04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0 Real Madrid W
30 Sept
AS Roma W
0 : 6 Barcelona W
26 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 2 Barcelona W
23 Sept
Barcelona W
5 : 2 Paris FC W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6 Barcelona W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0 Real Madrid W
23 Sept
Barcelona W
5 : 2 Paris FC W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
30 Aug
Barcelona W
5 : 0 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
21 Aug
Barcelona W
3 : 1 Brighton W
Page 1 of 4
Atl. Madrid W
(Away) 03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
30 Aug
Real Madrid W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
23 Aug
London City Lionesses W
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Guiniguada Apolinario W 1
Dep. A Coruna W 3
TBD -
Real Sociedad W -
CA Osasuna W 0
Badalona W 3
TBD -
Granada CF W -
Valencia W 1
Espanyol W 2
TBD -
Real Madrid W -
Alaves W 4
Levante W 0
TBD -
Barcelona W -
Sport Extremadura CD W 1
Alhama W 2
TBD -
Atl. Madrid W -
CE Europa W 2
Logrono W 1
TBD -
Athletic Bilbao W -
Huelva W 1
Madrid CFF W 7
TBD -
Eibar W -
Real Oviedo W 2
Sevilla W 3
TBD -
Costa Adeje Tenerife W -
1/8-finals
Dep. A Coruna W 1
Real Sociedad W 4
Badalona W 1
Granada CF W 0
Espanyol W 0
Real Madrid W 4
Alaves W 1
Barcelona W 6
Alhama W 1
Atl. Madrid W 2
CE Europa W 0
Athletic Bilbao W 3
Madrid CFF W 3
Eibar W 2
Sevilla W 1
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 2
Quarter-finals
Real Sociedad W 0
Badalona W 1
Real Madrid W 0
Barcelona W 4
Atl. Madrid W 4
Athletic Bilbao W 1
Madrid CFF W 0
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 1
Semi-finals
Badalona W 1
Barcelona W 4
Atl. Madrid W 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 0
Final
Barcelona W 3
Atl. Madrid W 1
