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Barcia vs Aviles Stadium

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Jimenez B.
59' Event
Ajuchi G.
90'
Perez P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 game between Barcia and Aviles Stadium finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Barcia
30%
Draws
23%
Aviles Stadium
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aviles Stadium come out ahead of Barcia on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Barcia Clean Sheet 20%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcia Aviles Stadium
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 4
Draws 6 15
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.87 0.55
Goals Conceded 2.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Aviles Stadium
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Barcia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajuchi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Aviles Stadium Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcia 32 / 100
Aviles Stadium 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcia Aviles Stadium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Aviles Stadium has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Barcia's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aviles Stadium let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aviles Stadium
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcia

(Home)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
Page 1 of 6

Aviles Stadium

(Away)
27 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanera
11 Aug
Club Siero
1 : 0
Aviles Stadium
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Llanera
03 May
Real Titanico
2 : 2
Aviles Stadium
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)