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Barcia vs Condal

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Diaz R.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Garcia A.
90' Event
Perez D.

AI Match Summary

Condal in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Condal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Barcia
20%
Draws
16%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Condal lately — more wins on the board than Barcia.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Barcia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Barcia Clean Sheet 68%
Condal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcia Condal
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.87 0.66
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Barcia
2:0
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Condal
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Condal Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcia 95 / 100
Condal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcia Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Condal conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Condal has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Barcia scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Condal
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcia

(Home)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
Page 1 of 6

Condal

(Away)
11 May
Condal
0 : 2
Gijon B
04 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 0
Condal
27 Apr
Condal
1 : 1
CD Colunga
16 Apr
Covadonga
5 : 0
Condal
13 Apr
Condal
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)