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Barcia vs Gijon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ameijide M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 game between Barcia and Gijon B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barcia
20%
Draws
57%
Gijon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gijon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gijon B are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Barcia Clean Sheet 10%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcia Gijon B
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 2 27
Draws 6 10
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.87 2.43
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Gijon B
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Barcia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ameijide M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gijon B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcia 14 / 100
Gijon B 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcia Gijon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Barcia's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gijon B let in goals in 43% of their last 44 matches.

Solid form: Barcia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gijon B
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcia

(Home)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
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Gijon B

(Away)
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)