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Barcia vs Llanes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Gulin D.
56' Event
Prieto P.
59' Event
Erasmo P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Barcia
15%
Draws
36%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Llanes have won more games recently than Barcia.
  • Win probability leans Barcia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Barcia Clean Sheet 18%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcia Llanes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Llanes
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Barcia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Llanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rios S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcia 41 / 100
Llanes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcia Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Llanes registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Barcia's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llanes
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcia

(Home)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
Page 1 of 6

Llanes

(Away)
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)