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Barco vs CD AS Pontes

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Barco and CD AS Pontes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barco
30%
Draws
47%
CD AS Pontes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of CD AS Pontes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD AS Pontes's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Barco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barco Clean Sheet 20%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barco CD AS Pontes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD AS Pontes
3:2
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Barco
2:3
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Barco
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD AS Pontes
2:1
Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD AS Pontes
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barco 16 / 100
CD AS Pontes 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barco CD AS Pontes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD AS Pontes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Barco scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Barco stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barco VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barco

(Home)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
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CD AS Pontes

(Away)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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