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Barco vs Pontevedra B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Santin D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Barco and Pontevedra B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Barco
20%
Draws
33%
Pontevedra B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of Pontevedra B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Barco a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Barco Clean Sheet 14%
Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barco Pontevedra B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Pontevedra B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Santin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pontevedra B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barco 35 / 100
Pontevedra B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barco Pontevedra B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontevedra B has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Barco scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Barco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Barco VS Pontevedra B
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Barco

(Home)
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
Page 1 of 6

Pontevedra B

(Away)
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
27 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)