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Barco vs Portonovo SD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Vicente
56' Event
Vilacha M.
90' Event
Martin O.

AI Match Summary

Barco in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Barco
20%
Draws
33%
Portonovo SD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Barco have won more games recently than Portonovo SD.
  • Barco are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Barco Clean Sheet 68%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barco Portonovo SD
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.23 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Portonovo SD
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilacha M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Portonovo SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Vicente
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barco 77 / 100
Portonovo SD 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barco Portonovo SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barco's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Portonovo SD conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Barco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barco VS Portonovo SD
1 Goals Scored 1.17
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Barco

(Home)
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
Page 1 of 6

Portonovo SD

(Away)
04 Oct
Portonovo SD
0 : 1
Lalin
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)