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Barco vs Silva SD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Alonso R.
13' Event
Freiria M.
20' Event
Calvo A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Barco and Silva SD finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Barco
30%
Draws
51%
Silva SD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of Silva SD on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Silva SD's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Barco Clean Sheet 11%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barco Silva SD
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Silva SD
3:3
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Barco
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Barco
2:0
Oct 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Silva SD
3:0
Feb 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Barco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Freiria M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calvo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barco 10 / 100
Silva SD 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barco Silva SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barco found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Silva SD conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Barco has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barco VS Silva SD
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Barco

(Home)
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Montaneros
0 : 0
Barco
Page 1 of 6

Silva SD

(Away)
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)