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Barco vs Somozas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Bin R.
67' Event
Cambon J.
72' Event
Cambon J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Barco and Somozas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barco
30%
Draws
47%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of Somozas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Somozas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Barco Clean Sheet 14%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barco Somozas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Somozas
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
2:1
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Somozas
0:0
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Bin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cambon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barco 27 / 100
Somozas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barco Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barco found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Somozas has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Barco remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barco VS Somozas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barco

(Home)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)