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Bardejov vs Pavlovce nad Uhom

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - East Mestský štadión Bardejov
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - East game between Bardejov and Pavlovce nad Uhom finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bardejov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bardejov
6%
Draws
4%
Pavlovce nad Uhom
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bardejov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bardejov has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pavlovce nad Uhom.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bardejov.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 4. liga - East provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bardejov Clean Sheet 20%
Pavlovce nad Uhom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bardejov Pavlovce nad Uhom
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 2
Draws 6 7
Losses 2 20
Goals Scored 3.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 4. liga - East
Bardejov vs Pavlovce nad Uhom
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 4. liga - East
Pavlovce nad Uhom vs Bardejov
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bardejov 85 / 100
Pavlovce nad Uhom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bardejov Pavlovce nad Uhom

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bardejov scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Pavlovce nad Uhom let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bardejov went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pavlovce nad Uhom lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bardejov VS Pavlovce nad Uhom
3.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%