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Bare vs Nautico FC

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Coca
54' Event
dos Santos P. H.
81' Event
dos Santos P. H.

AI Match Summary

Bare in this Roraimense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bare
15%
Draws
26%
Nautico FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bare have won more games recently than Nautico FC.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Bare taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bare Clean Sheet 20%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bare Nautico FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Bare
0:2
Mar 10, 2025 Roraimense
Bare vs Nautico FC
4:0
Apr 1, 2023 Roraimense
Bare vs Nautico FC
2:2
Apr 12, 2022 Roraimense
Bare vs Nautico FC
0:2
Apr 2, 2022 Roraimense
Bare vs Nautico FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bare Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos P. H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Nautico FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bare 85 / 100
Nautico FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bare Nautico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bare's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nautico FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Bare has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bare VS Nautico FC
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bare

(Home)
01 Apr
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 0
Bare
21 Mar
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Bare
17 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 : 0
Bare
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
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Nautico FC

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
08 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
4 : 1
Nautico FC
05 Mar
Nautico FC
0 : 1
Monte Roraima
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
2 Bare 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
3 Monte Roraima 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Sao Raimundo RR 7 4 1 2 15:7 13
5 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Nautico FC 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
7 Atl. Roraima 7 0 3 4 3:20 3
8 Progresso 7 0 2 5 1:19 2
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)