Sport Picks
Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht 
Match Events
44'
44'
Monster D.
46'
46'
Sub
Lopes Varela D. In: Riley B.
Out: Lopes Varela D.
52'
52'
Vugts B.
AI Match Summary
Excelsior Maassluis in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior Maassluis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barendrecht average 1.77 goals a game right now, well clear of Excelsior Maassluis's 1.57.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior Maassluis taking it.
- Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barendrecht | Excelsior Maassluis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Barendrecht
2:0
Jan 18, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Barendrecht
1:2
Aug 11, 2020 Club Friendly
Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barendrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Mrowicki O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Excelsior Maassluis Compare
Top Goalscorer Nagtegaal N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tureaij C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barendrecht 10 / 100
Excelsior Maassluis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barendrecht Excelsior Maassluis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barendrecht scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Excelsior Maassluis let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Barendrecht has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Barendrecht VS Excelsior Maassluis
1.33 Goals Scored 1.75
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barendrecht
(Home) 22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2 Barendrecht
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3 Hardenberg
04 Aug
SV Poortugaal
2 : 2 Barendrecht
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
16 May
RKAV Volendam
5 : 2 Barendrecht
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3 Hardenberg
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2 HSV Hoek
18 Apr
Barendrecht
0 : 3 Spakenburg
28 Mar
Barendrecht
2 : 3 Katwijk
Page 1 of 4
Excelsior Maassluis
(Away) 22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
15 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
03 Jun
Rijnvogels
2 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
27 May
VVSB
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
