Sport Picks
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht 
Match Events
13'
13'
Vugts B.
31'
31'
Korte G.
Assist: van der Meer R.
42'
42'
Mrowicki O.
Assist: Jongman J.
AI Match Summary
The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Barendrecht and Katwijk finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Katwijk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Katwijk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Katwijk come out ahead of Barendrecht on wins alone.
- Model gives Katwijk a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Katwijk have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barendrecht | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Barendrecht
4:3
Feb 1, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Barendrecht
4:1
Apr 20, 2019 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barendrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Vugts B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mrowicki O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Katwijk Compare
Top Goalscorer Korte G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brenna M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barendrecht 22 / 100
Katwijk 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barendrecht Katwijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Katwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Katwijk conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Barendrecht found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Barendrecht has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Barendrecht VS Katwijk
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Barendrecht
(Home) 22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2 Barendrecht
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3 Hardenberg
04 Aug
SV Poortugaal
2 : 2 Barendrecht
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
16 May
RKAV Volendam
5 : 2 Barendrecht
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3 Hardenberg
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2 HSV Hoek
18 Apr
Barendrecht
0 : 3 Spakenburg
28 Mar
Barendrecht
2 : 3 Katwijk
Page 1 of 3
Katwijk
(Away) 22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
15 Aug
Spakenburg
1 : 0 Katwijk
04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1 Katwijk
11 Jul
Katwijk
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
23 May
Katwijk
4 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Spakenburg
1 : 0 Katwijk
04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1 Katwijk
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1 Katwijk
18 Apr
De Treffers
4 : 1 Katwijk
04 Apr
HSV Hoek
2 : 0 Katwijk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
