Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bari U19 vs Spezia U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Conte G.
40' Event
Martinelli N.
68' Event
Conte G.

AI Match Summary

Spezia U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bari U19
15%
Draws
21%
Spezia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spezia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Bari U19.
  • Win probability leans Bari U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bari U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari U19 Spezia U19
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Spezia U19
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Bari U19
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Spezia U19
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Bari U19
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Bari U19
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Spezia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conte G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinelli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari U19 85 / 100
Spezia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari U19 Spezia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bari U19 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Spezia U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Bari U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bari U19 VS Spezia U19
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
29 Aug
Bari U19
1 : 0
Padova U19
09 May
Benevento U19
2 : 1
Bari U19
02 May
Bari U19
3 : 2
Salernitana U19
Page 1 of 6

Spezia U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
25 Apr
Benevento U19
1 : 0
Spezia U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)