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Bari U20 vs Napoli U20

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Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 game between Bari U20 and Napoli U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bari U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bari U20
35%
Draws
15%
Napoli U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bari U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Napoli U20 come out ahead of Bari U20 on wins alone.
  • Bari U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Napoli U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bari U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Napoli U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari U20 Napoli U20
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2013 Primavera - Group C
Bari U20 vs Napoli U20
0:1
Sep 29, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Napoli U20 vs Bari U20
5:1
Apr 3, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Napoli U20 vs Bari U20
1:0
Nov 26, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Bari U20 vs Napoli U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari U20 76 / 100
Napoli U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari U20 Napoli U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Napoli U20 conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

Bari U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Bari U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Napoli U20
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Lazio U20
3 : 0
Bari U20
13 Apr
Bari U20
4 : 3
Juve Stabia U20
06 Apr
Ternana U20
1 : 2
Bari U20
03 Apr
Bari U20
3 : 1
Pescara U20
16 Mar
Bari U20
1 : 1
Crotone U20
Page 1 of 6

Napoli U20

(Away)
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3
Cagliari U20
17 May
Cagliari U20
1 : 1
Napoli U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
02 May
Verona U20
5 : 2
Napoli U20
25 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Inter U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)